Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 3.474366 4.054640 4.669400 5.366017 6.130291 6.940219 7.860332
2025-01-05 2.676349 3.485049 4.402504 5.506683 6.785951 8.208555 9.897118
2025-01-12 2.082430 3.013284 4.138749 5.566938 7.298739 9.300312 11.757707
2025-01-19 1.595639 2.569958 3.823983 5.495789 7.607051 10.129422 13.314607
2025-01-26 1.297971 2.309032 3.685506 5.599684 8.099254 11.165587 15.123405
2025-02-02 1.065928 2.091576 3.564888 5.694416 8.558729 12.153550 16.880108
2025-02-09 0.821300 1.804922 3.305173 5.565066 8.699281 12.724472 18.114752
2025-02-16 0.629507 1.559984 3.068777 5.434945 8.812835 13.244018 19.277192
2025-02-23 0.505324 1.402919 2.941875 5.441663 9.098791 13.981444 20.719873
2025-03-02 0.387743 1.227979 2.760934 5.346160 9.225664 14.498804 21.875599
2025-03-09 0.338218 1.179228 2.782165 5.555034 9.786719 15.605992 23.818188
2025-03-16 0.270634 1.071777 2.686454 5.568718 10.057690 16.317083 25.241794
2025-03-23 0.241935 1.052053 2.750705 5.848851 10.740445 17.624382 27.506235
2025-03-30 0.210685 1.017233 2.782448 6.075887 11.350043 18.842847 29.673128
2025-04-06 0.172241 0.949492 2.741767 6.176534 11.768191 19.798622 31.497378
2025-04-13 0.128363 0.845737 2.614093 6.116677 11.932761 20.393745 32.834018
2025-04-20 0.104507 0.796245 2.591605 6.236093 12.375842 21.390876 34.733394
2025-04-27 0.083959 0.747809 2.564003 6.341582 12.795652 22.357220 36.598086
2025-05-04 0.056578 0.650251 2.410279 6.203962 12.817704 22.740659 37.651279
2025-05-11 0.036287 0.562635 2.263149 6.064528 12.826285 23.098168 38.666590
2025-05-18 0.025194 0.511370 2.196382 6.072102 13.073091 23.808791 40.185593
2025-05-25 0.014936 0.445635 2.078820 5.969321 13.128389 24.229718 41.293643
2025-06-01 0.012262 0.439460 2.123521 6.194462 13.742876 25.501325 43.631134